Trump or Biden: Who will Nikki Haley’s supporters back in November election?

Nikki Haley ended her failed bid for the White House much like she spent the final weeks of campaigning: with a warning for her former Republican rival.

“It is now up to Donald Trump to earn the votes of those in our party and beyond it who did not support him,” she said, pausing. “And I hope he does that.”

The former South Carolina governor’s coalition of Trump-resistant Republicans and independents was simply too small to stop Mr Trump’s march to the Republican nomination, which was all but assured after a commanding series of victories on Super Tuesday.

But that same coalition – a mix of moderate, college-educated and suburban voters who helped her win two primary races – now hold considerable power. The question now coming into focus, with serious implications for the presidential race, is who they will pick in November.

Ms Haley’s exit effectively marks the start of the 2024 general election, which is now all-but-certain as a rematch of four years ago between Mr Trump and Democrat Joe Biden. And this time, experts say, the path to the presidency runs through the voters Ms Haley left behind.